Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RUNE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-15 0.931051 1.168905 1.432951 1.744891 2.100432 2.490275 2.947238
2025-06-22 0.618640 0.927803 1.310173 1.804495 2.413479 3.126780 4.012796
2025-06-29 0.407331 0.737499 1.192443 1.831192 2.671992 3.710356 5.058447
2025-07-06 0.252456 0.566670 1.052729 1.792747 2.827952 4.166814 5.970585
2025-07-13 0.164965 0.462172 0.976057 1.816549 3.053427 4.713075 7.013723
2025-07-20 0.105609 0.378265 0.906872 1.832288 3.257692 5.232305 8.036237
2025-07-27 0.060074 0.294005 0.812033 1.787285 3.360580 5.609247 8.876605
2025-08-03 0.031947 0.228130 0.729762 1.744605 3.454529 5.968884 9.697669
2025-08-10 0.017451 0.187129 0.684214 1.754782 3.624847 6.438323 10.678551
2025-08-17 0.007198 0.142390 0.613284 1.704272 3.688180 6.747899 11.439132
2025-08-24 0.003852 0.126750 0.608936 1.779339 3.960743 7.375402 12.664157
2025-08-31 0.001312 0.103312 0.573804 1.785593 4.113647 7.823788 13.640038
2025-09-07 0.000599 0.097003 0.589376 1.903094 4.471563 8.606756 15.133527
2025-09-14 0.000139 0.085460 0.583720 1.973626 4.750184 9.275957 16.477789
2025-09-21 0.000004 0.071368 0.562492 2.005763 4.960375 9.843427 17.684486
2025-09-28 NaN 0.053270 0.514250 1.966720 5.035554 10.196919 18.579340
2025-10-05 NaN 0.043556 0.494733 1.993046 5.232352 10.749003 19.780506
2025-10-12 NaN 0.034882 0.473275 2.010312 5.410728 11.273647 20.947509
2025-10-19 NaN 0.024381 0.430113 1.962593 5.457913 11.582022 21.789330
2025-10-26 NaN 0.016492 0.390924 1.917200 5.504421 11.887691 22.629874
2025-11-02 NaN 0.012341 0.372744 1.928119 5.664007 12.385560 23.774090
2025-11-09 NaN 0.007498 0.335574 1.874258 5.684913 12.646588 24.552433
2025-11-16 NaN 0.006575 0.340955 1.954359 5.990926 13.402414 26.116092